| Feb. 25th, 2007 @ 05:11 pm (no subject) |
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Current Location: 01008
Current Music: theme song to "Soap" in brain
I got invited to an Academy Awards party (I think I might wear the too-big white suitcoat, rather than the too-big/too-loud blue-and-red 'Dumper' jacket), and I don't want to show up without anything to say.
So, real quick-like, I'll summon up my Oscar predictions through the awesome power of my unerring logical-scientific methodology (which depends largely on intuition and the proper recognition of daily omens and portents in dreams).
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I figure, taking the last things first, The Departed for Best Picture. (In part because it seems schematically most likely, Academy-wise; and also intuition; and also, I saw it, and do believe I enjoyed it.)
And Scorsese could get an Oscar, and I figure he has to eventually, so let's say he will.
I'm going to go out on a limb and say Peter O'Toole for Best Actor, which will probably prove to be quite wrong; but once again, he turned down the Honorary one, so will the Academy reward his audacity? (I have no idea, but I bet this would yield a good Oscar speech, so let's cross our fingers.)
I think Best Performance for an Actress in a Leading Role (such high-falutin' titles) goes to Helen Mirren, because everyone is all abuzz over The Queen, but it'll never win an Oscar, but if it was good it was probably largely because she was good, so give the Actress in the Leading Role the gold statue, and let's move on to the next category.
Supporting Actor? I want Alan Arkin to win because he is tops in my book. So he simply must win. Very simple. (Although, Mark Wahlberg is like 1/4th of the reason to watch the Departed, so, hey, I wouldn't weep bitterly if he waltzed home with Oscar, either.)
Actress in a Supporting Role? I, uh. Didn't, uh... see... any... of these movies.
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Let's take a minute to talk about my process.
Um, I guess based on a complex matrix... a series of inquiries progressing as follows:
1) am I familiar with relevant factors (other categories, people involved, past Academy Awards) that may sway the balance one way or another? (is someone owed? did someone just win one? is this film unlikely to win based on historical precedent?) 2) did I see and enjoy the film/performance? 3) who would I give the Award to if I were omnipotent, for the purposes of my own enjoyment and enriching all of creation?
A heady brew of incisive deductive thinking and utter and complete conjecture.
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Actress in a Supporting Role...
Please, not another little girl with an academy award? Too precious. And it makes me feel low, like maybe I should've won one. No one wants that, except her, but she's young (and she hasn't realized yet that life is just the one long disappointment all the way to the grave). She's got her whole life ahead of her.
Give it to the actress from Babel, 'cause I'm just wildly guessing.
I want Pan's Labyrinth to win best Foreign Film... but if there's a better film, I hope it wins, and then I'll go see it... but... I liked Pan's Labyrinth more than I can possibly articulate. It grabbed my brains and wouldn't let go for two hours, totally and completely absorbing me.
For screenplay, Children of Men 'cause it was good and got robbed and was amazing, and Little Miss Sunshine as a way of saying 'sorry, you were never ever neever noover going to win Best Picture, but you were really very good and do keep it up'.
and... I... guess that's it. |
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